Human Error - PowerPoint

5 important questions on Human Error - PowerPoint

What is the history of human error?

  • Being hurt was a personality trait: accident proneness
  • Change after horse kick research by Russian statistician
    • Poisson distribution
  • Freud explored idea of unconscious drivers of behavior "you don't want to montage your Ikea closet"

What is the model of Kahneman?

System 1 (Haas): Fast, unconscious, intuitive, sensitive for pictures
System 2 (Schildpad): Slow, conscious reasoning, evaluate, sensitive for information

What are psychological factors of this system 1 and 2 model?

  • System 1 is always an immediate reaction, this is uncontrollable.
  • System 2 has to be activated
    • This reaction is not always goodEstimates of probability and impacts are strongly influenced by saliency and availability
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What did James Reason and Rasmussen do?

They decided there are two kinds of behavior
Non-intentional behavior
  • Skill-based slip (error of comission, typo)
  • Skill-based lapse (error of omission, forget the original on the glass plate)
  • Warning people about this doesn't work
Intentional behavior
  • Rule- or knowledge-based mistake (fire on the first floor in Finland)
  • Violation (think about a problem, but incompetent to come to the right diagnosis, starting the car in the winter and try again till the battery is down)   

What is barrier based management

The Bowtie Model:
Prevention: stop the shit hitting the fan
Top event: the shit has hit the fan
Mitigation: what can you do about it

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