Summary: Business Analytics
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1 Notes 1 Introduction
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1.1 Introduction
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What is business analytics?
Theability offirms /organizations tocollect ,analyze andact ondata -
What is the definition of causal analysis
Independent variables are regarded as causes of the dependent variable. The goal is to determine whether a particular independent variable really affects the dependent variable, and to estimate the magnitude of that effect, if any. -
What is the main difference between the two estimation problems: prediction and causal inference?
Prediction questions what will happen? And causal inference questions why will this happen? -
Which estimation technique can be used for both prediction and causal inference?
Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) estimation -
What is the definition of predictive modelling with use of OLS estimation?
Estimate Conditional mean E(y|x) -
What is the definition of causal estimation with use of OLS estimation
Estimate partialderivative (slopeparameter ) withrespect to some xj -
Under which assumption can both prediction and causal inference be achieved simultaneously by OLS?
Theassumption ofzero conditional mean:E (u|x) = 0 -
Why doesn't the error term E(u|x) play a role in prediction
Because the prediction is based on what we're observing and the error term is something we do not observe. -
What is the reason that causal interpretation of predicted beta_j fails if error term E(u|x_j) is not equal to 0?
Then you get a biased estimate because you're specific x would otherwise be depended on the error term. -
What does the ceteris paribus analysis measure?
Effect of x_j on y
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