Understanding and analyzing civil war

18 important questions on Understanding and analyzing civil war

Background. > After the high hopes of the early 1990's, three developments in particular took the gloss of (nam de glans weg) what were no doubt unrealistic expectations of rapid results. What were those three developments?

  1. There were the difficulties that international interveners encountered in chaotic war zones such as in Bosnia (1992-1995) and Somalia (1992-1993).

  2. There was the collapse of the Isreali-Palestinian "Oslo" peace process with the launch of the second Intifada (Uprising) in September 2000.

  3. The shock of the destruction of the WTC and the attack on the Pentagon on 9/11 2001 in the United States.

Framework models. > Johan Galtung proposed an influential model of conflict. He suggested that conflict could be viewed as a triangle, with contradiction, attitude and behaviour. What does the term contradiction imply in this triangle?

The contradiction refers to the underlying conflict situation, which includes the actual or perceived "incompatibility of goals" between the conflict parties by a "mis-match" between social values and social structure.

Framework models. > Johan Galtung proposed an influential model of conflict. He suggested that conflict could be viewed as a triangle, with contradiction, attitude and behaviour. What does the term attitude  imply in this triangle?

Attitude includes the parties' perceptions and misperceptions of each other and of themselves. --> These can be positive or negative, but in violent conflicts parties tend to develop demeaning stereotypes of the other, and attitudes are often influenced by emotions such as fear, anger, bitterness and hatred.
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Framework models. > Johan Galtung proposed an influential model of conflict. He suggested that conflict could be viewed as a triangle, with contradiction, attitude and behaviour. What does the term behaviour imply in this triangle?

Behaviour can include cooperation or coercion, gestures signifying conciliation or hostility. Violent conflict behaviour is characterized by threats, coercion and destructive attacks.

Framework models. > We end direct violence by:

Changing conflict behaviour.

Framework models. > We end structural violence by:

Removing structural contradictions and injustices.

Framework models. > We end cultural violence by:

Changing attitudes.

Framework models. > Describe conflict transformation:

Conflict transformation is seen to encompass (omgeven) the deepest levels of cultural and structural peacebuilding.

Framework models. > Describe conflict settlement:

Conflict settlement corresponds to what we call elite-peacemaking in other words, negotiation or mediation among the main protagonists with a ciew to reaching a mutually acceptable agreement.

Framework models. > Describe conflict containment:

Conflict containment includes preventive peacekeeping, war limitation and post-ceasefire peacekeeping.

Conflict resolutions techniques. Stage of the conflict: Difference. What strategic response is necessary? And which examples does that response accompany?

Strategic response > Cultural peacebuilding.

Examples:
  • Problem-solving.
  • Support for indigenous (inheems) dispute-resolution institutions and CR training.
  • Fact-finding missions and peace commissions.
  • Culture of toleration and respect.
  • Multiple and inclusive identities.

Conflict resolution techniques. > Stage of the conflict: Contradiction. What strategic response is necessary? And which examples does that response accompany?

Strategic response > Structural peacebuilding.

Examples:
  • Development assistance.
  • Civil society development.
  • Governance training and institution building.
  • Human rights training.
  • Track II mediation and problem-solving.
  • Institutional capacity.
  • Consitutional and legal provision.
  • Legitimacy and social justice.   

Conflict resolution techniques. > Stage of the conflict: Polarization. What strategic response is necessary? And which examples does that response accompany?

Strategic response > Elite peacemaking.

Examples:
  • Special envoys and official mediation.
  • Negotiation.
  • Coercive diplomacy.
  • Preventive peacekeeping.    

Conflict resolution techniques. > Stage of the conflict: Violence. What strategic response is necessary? And which examples does that response accompany?


Strategic response > Peacekeeping.

Examples:
  • Interposition.
  • Crisis management and containment.

Conflict resolution techniques. > Stage of the conflict: Ceasefire. What strategic response is necessary? And which examples does that response accompany?

Strategic response > Peacekeeping.

Examples:
  • Preventive peacekeeping.
  • Disarmament and security sector reform.
  • Confidence building and security enhancing measures.
  • Security in the community though police training.   

Conflict resolution techniques. > Stage of the conflict: Agreement. What strategic response is necessary? And which examples does that response accompany?

Strategic response > Elite peacemaking.

Examples:
  • Electoral and constitutional reform.
  • Power sharing and de-centralization of power.
  • Problem-solving.   

Conflict resolution techniques. > Stage of the conflict: Normalization. What strategic response is necessary? And which examples does that response accompany?

Strategic response > Structural peacebuilding.

Examples:
  • Collective security and cooperation arragements.
  • Economic resource cooperation and development.
  • Alternative defence.    

Conflict resolution techniques. > Stage of the conflict: Reconciliation. What strategic response is necessary? And which examples does that response accompany?

Strategic response > Cultural peacebuilding.

Examples:
  • Commissions of enquiry/truth and justice commissions.
  • Peace media development.
  • Peace and conflict awareness education and training.
  • Cultural exchanges and initiatives, sport and reconciliation.
  • Problem-solving as future image.   

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