Diagnostic research

7 important questions on Diagnostic research

What is another use of univariable analysis?

It determines the number of miussing values for each determinant and for the outcome. And if values are missing completely at random (MCAR), missing at random (MAR) or missing not ar random (MNAR).

What are the steps in a multivariable analysis

- incorporate the easily obtainable determinants in the analysis, before subsequently estimate the added value of more burdensome or costly tests/ determinants

What is the Area Under Curve

The probalility that for each randomly chosen pair of one diseased and one nondiseased, the model estimates a higher probability for the diseased than for the nondiseased individual.
example: AUC 0,7. Of a randomly chosen pair disease/ nondiseased, the diseased has a probibility of 70 % that the model estimates a higher probability for the disease than the nondiseased.
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How can the amount of optimism/ overfitting be estimated?

Using internal validation methods (no new info, just that of the derivation set)
- split sample
- (cross-validation)
- bootstrapping

steps:
- differences in discrimination and calibration of the full set and the now used set are determined (the amount of optimism). If bootstrapping method is used; the average of the bootstrapping sets is determined.

- these differences can be used to adjust the original model estimated in the full set.
    • adjusting or shrinking the regression coefficients and ROC curve

How can a pediction model be presented?

- as the function itself; than a calculator or computer is needed to calculate an individuals probability
- create a nomogram (computer assisted)
- simplified risk score or scoring rule; however loss of some information because the regression coefficients are simplified and rounded. Mostly not clinical relevant.

When does the diagnostic test have enough impact on clinical practice?

- when there are sufficient more diagnosis above or beneath the thresholds (A for testing, B for treatment
- calculate the proportion of correctly reclassification by the net reclassification improvement
- this requires definition of the thresholds A and B  (rather difficult in practice).

How is external vaildation done?

- testing the model in new data:
  • same centre, later period
  • other centres
  • other country
- external validation (applicability of the model in other subgroups or settings can also be performed to adjust the model for use in the new population. Kind of adjestments:
    • updating the intercept of the model for differences in outcome frequency
    • orginally estimated regression coefficients
    • adding new determinants in the model

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