Summary: College 5: Trip Distribution

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  • 10 Two key principles

  • What are the two key principles?

    1. Big produces/attracts more
    2. Nearby attracts more
    (independent of the analogy or chosen framework)
  • 11 Definitions

  • What is a distribution or deterrence function?

    Describes the relative willingness to make a trip as a function of the travel costs
    Fij=f(cij)
  • What are the two requirements for distribution functions?

    1. Decreasing with travel costs
    2. Integral should be finite
  • 14 Method 1: Growth models

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  • What data is used in the base matrix?

    - Trip observations
    - Outcomes of (older) model
    - Calibrated using traffic counts
  • Growth factor models advantages

    - Network specific peculiarities can be captured by observations
    - A base matrix is more understandable and verifiable than a model
  • Growth factor models disadvantages

    - New residential zones are difficult to capture
    - Historical patterns may change over time
  • Common application growth models

    - Given expected spatial development (short term)
    - Scale this adapted base year matrix to the future production and attraction using appropriate factors a and b
  • 19 Method 2: Gravity model

  • Gravity model assumptions:

    Number of trips between an origin and a destination zone is proportional to:
    - a production ability factor for the origin zone
    - an attraction ability factor for the destination zone
    - a factor depending on the travel costs between the zones
  • Mathematical formulation gravity model

    Tij=pQiXjFij
  • What is the difference between single and double constraint?

    Single is based on productions or attractions
    Double is based on both of them: Tij=abPiAjFij
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