Summary: College 5: Trip Distribution
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10 Two key principles
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What are the two key principles?
1. Big produces/attracts more
2. Nearby attracts more
(independent of the analogy or chosen framework) -
11 Definitions
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What is a distribution or deterrence function?
Describes the relative willingness to make a trip as a function of the travel costs
Fij=f(cij) -
What are the two requirements for distribution functions?
1. Decreasing with travel costs
2. Integral should be finite -
14 Method 1: Growth models
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What data is used in the base matrix?
- Trip observations
- Outcomes of (older) model
- Calibrated using traffic counts -
Growth factor models advantages
- Network specific peculiarities can be captured by observations
- A base matrix is more understandable and verifiable than a model -
Growth factor models disadvantages
- New residential zones are difficult to capture
- Historical patterns may change over time -
Common application growth models
- Given expected spatial development (short term)
- Scale this adapted base year matrix to the future production and attraction using appropriate factors a and b -
19 Method 2: Gravity model
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Gravity model assumptions:
Number of trips between an origin and a destination zone is proportional to:
- a production ability factor for the origin zone
- an attraction ability factor for the destination zone
- a factor depending on the travel costs between the zones -
Mathematical formulation gravity model
Tij=pQiXjFij -
What is the difference between single and double constraint?
Single is based on productions or attractions
Double is based on both of them: Tij=abPiAjFij
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