R&D- and technology strategies

8 important questions on R&D- and technology strategies

What are uncertainties in emerging industries? How can we address them?

Technology uncertainty
Market uncertainty

If reliable forecasting is impossible:
Cooperating with lead users
Limiting risk exposure (fixed cost)
Flexibility

What are the 6 R&D generations?

1. Black hole demand (technology push)
2. Market shares battle (market pull)
3. Rationalization efforts (R&D as portfolio based on business and cooperate strategy)
4. Time based struggle (R&D as integrative activity, learning from and with customers (cross-functional teams work parallel with R&D activities)
5. System integration (R&D as network, working with supplier competitors, distributors, etc.)
6. Multi technology systems (use of internet for networks, more networks)

Some remarks on how you can profit on R&D

• Regime of appropriability
• Intellectual property rights – Patents – Copyrights – Trademarks – Trade secrets
• Tacitness and complexity of technology
• Lead time
• Complementary resources
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Some Challenges in following trajectories for R&D

• Difficult to keep up with the pace of development.
– Lack of resources.
– Lack of capabilities.
– Organizational inertia.
– Lack of attention to new and emerging technologies and business opportunities.
• Increasing need to master several technologies in order to manage complex products, services and processes.
• When the number of technologies in a product increases, the cost of R&D increases exponentially.

Discuss the different R&D activities

Knowledge building: in the beginning, small investments
Strategic positioning: Evaluates options of knowledge and resources
Business investment: Development and production engineering: launching

What is a product development funnel gate? What are the four types of outcomes? Why should we close bad projects as fast as possible?

Product development funnel gate: Major milestones: continue working on the project? Stop working? Or get more information?

True positives: Launched and received well on the market. Mostly incremental.
False positive: Launched but not a success
True negatives: Not launched and wouldn't be a success (saved money)
False negatives: Stop ideas which would generate a lot of money (a lot of breakthrough innovations).

Close bad project early: Projects expenses grow exponentially in time. Also, Prevent Q's

Discuss Queues in R&D

• R&D Work-In-Progress/Inventories are physically and financially invisible
• Queues are a main source of waste in R&D
• Higher capacity utilization increases queues exponentially
• Variation increases queues linearly
• Control the size of the R&D queue by lowering resource utilization to the economically correct level

Should we avoid uncertain R&D projects? What are the costs?

High risks can also mean high income. (1 out of 5 * times high risks can be better than 5 out of 5 not risk).

Costs are:
Cost of deployed resources
Cost of delays (Queues)
Cost of lost oppurtunities

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