Summary: Derivatives
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1 Week 1
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1.1.1 Binomial Model and Risk-Neutral pricing
This is a preview. There are 11 more flashcards available for chapter 1.1.1
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In the pricing equation, what can we say about q and 1-q?
Q and 1-q can be interpreted as probabilities:- Sum is equal to 1
- positive if u > 1+r > d
- if this is NOT the case -> arbitrage opportunity
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Risk neutral pricing:
if there are no arbitrage opportunities, the price of every redundant asset is equal to the expectation under the risk-neutral probability measure of its discounted future payoff -
What are the risk neutral probabilities in a binomial tree model?
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Why does risk neutral pricing NOT imply risk-neutral investors?
- q and 1-q are artificial probabilities (and not real probabilities)
- Risk neutral pricing is based on replication and no-arbitrage and so on non-satiated investors and NOT on risk-neutrality (no assumptions about risk attitude of investors are made)
- q and 1-q are artificial probabilities (and not real probabilities)
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Risk-neutral pricing is relative pricing:
Derivative price is determined relative to stock price, interest rate and dynamics of the stock price, these are given exogenously -
Discounted derivative prices are Q-martingales:
The expectedfuture value isequal to thevalue today, or,stated differently, the process does onaverage neither increase nordecrease -
Application of martingales in option theory: under the risk neutral measure Q:
o Discounted stock prices grow on average with 0
o Stock prices grow on average with r -
Normalizing derivative prices:
Normalizing derivative prices typically refers to the process of scaling the prices of different derivative contracts to a common basis, usually a standard unit or a percentage. This is done to compare the prices of different derivatives with each other, or to compare the prices of a single derivative at different points in time. -
Theorem: American call on underlying that pays no dividends:
If the underlying pays no dividends and if the interest rate is positive, it is never optimal to exercise and American call before maturity -
Theorem (American call on a dividend paying stock):
if the stock pays dividends and interest rates are positive, it might be optimal to exercise an American call immediately before the dividend payment
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