European Banks

10 important questions on European Banks

Explain traditional banking business

consists of lending: bank grants a loan, funded with deposits. The difference (spread) between the lending and borrowing rate determines a bank's profitability

What are important determinants of bank profitability?

- the risk premium (Rc - Rf)
- fee-earning activities. Off-balance sheet activities that include securitization of assets, credit lines, forwards, options.

Why do banks have a comparative advantage in providing liquidity?

- active and deep interbank market in which liquidity shocks are offset
- aggregate liquidity shocks are smoothed by the CB
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Banks serve as a delegated monitor. How do they monitor clients? What happens when the number of borrowers is large?

1. screening projects ex ante (adverse selection)
2. preventing opportunistic behavior of the borrower during the project (moral hazard)
3. auditing a borrower who fails to meet its contractual obligation (costly state verification)

When the number of borrowers is large, it is efficient to delegate monitoring to one party. A bank could delegate it to credit rating agencies.

What is the difference between direct and intermediate lending?

direct lending: issuing bonds at the capital market
- firms that cannot issue direct debt on financial markets will request bank lending
- firms with low cashflow uncertainty borrow on the market, high uncertainty > bank lending

What is economic capital?

The amount of capital a bank needsin order to be able to absorb losses over a certain time interval with a certain confidence level. Can be used for measuring different risks in a comparable way.

(worst case losses % - expected losses %)

! Large international banks strive to maintain an AA credit rating. AA means probability of default is 0.03%.

Explain Risk Adjusted Return On Capital (RAROC) and its shortcomings

(Revenues - Costs - Expected Losses)/ Economic Capital

revenues: spread between promised and risk-free rate
costs: % of loans

Within RAROC framework, banks first calculate risk for credit, market & operational risk & then aggregate the different risk types for the whole bank    

shortcomings
1. focus on day to day risks, not tail risks
2. assumption that risks are independent & exogenous

What are the 3 different risk types?

credit risk: risk of loss due to failure of a counterparty, whcih are not only borrowers but also countrerparties in derivatives & settlement systems. Reduced by diversifying.

market risk: risk of loss due to unfavourable movements in market prices, exchange rates, etcetera

operational risk: the risk of loss from inadequate or failed internal processes, people or systems

RAROC deals with risk that threaten solvency. But, banks also incur liquidity risks. How?

liquidity risk arises when a bank has insufficient liquid resources to meet a surge in liquidity demand: occurs when there is a sudden withdrawal of deposits

liquid resources can be managed by (1) maintaining a pool of liquid assets  and by (2) preserving a diversified funding base

What is meant by cross-border penetration? And what are drivers of cross-border mergers?

A way to assess the presence of foreign banks. Defined as the assets of banks from other EU member states as a % of the country's total banking assets.

concentration measures:1. market share of 5 biggest banks
2. Herfindahl index: sum of squares of the market shares of all banks

Up to 90's: belief that national financial institutions should not be controlled by foreigners. Prevented almost any cross-bordermerger. Recent mergers are more widely spread across EU.

Drivers for cross-border mergers   
1. geopgraphic diversification
2. potential efficiency improvement

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