Mechanisms of International Adjustments

10 important questions on Mechanisms of International Adjustments

Balance of Payments (BoP) occurs when:

Total Inpayments (Credit) = Total Outpayments (Debit)
A current account deficit refers to an excess of outpayments over
inpayments whereas a current account surplus (vice versa)
Current account deficit is a result of excess of imports > exports
of goods, services, income flows, and unilateral services.

A nation finances it current account deficit:

· International reserves (which are quite limited)
· By attracting investment (factories purchased by foreign businesses or by borrowing from other nations).

The current account takes two different forms:

1. Under certain predictable conditions adjustment factors automatically promote equilibrium.
2. Should the above automatic conditions be unable to restore equilibrium, then government intervention (discretionary policies) enacted to achieve the equilibrium.
3. How is the initial equilibrium restored.
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Automatic adjustments in the Balance of Payments (BoP):

· Domestic income
· Foreign prices
· Domestic prices.

Price adjustment mechanism or the Price-specie-flow-doctrine:

Developed by David Hume (See Chapter 2) based on gold flows.
· Surplus nation: chain of events promoting a BoP equilibrium:
é Money supply è é Domestic prices è é Imports è ê Exports.
· Deficit nation: chain of events promoting a BoP equilibrium:
ê Money supply è ê Domestic prices è ê Imports è é Exports.
Thus Hume’s theory stresses the role of prices playing a vital role
in promoting current account equilibrium.

Gold standard, late 1800s to early 1900s:

· Conditions for each member nation
· Money supply = gold or paper money backed by gold
·       The official price of gold – defined in terms of national currency
· Buy and sell gold at that price
· Free import and export of gold
· Money supply - directly tied to current –account

Rules of the Game: Classical Gold Standard:
Three conditions:

· Paper money backed by gold (Gold was the common denominator)
· Official price of gold was defined in terms of its national currency and the buying and selling of gold at that price.
· Example:
1 ounce of gold was worth: GBP 22, USD 44, D.M. 88, FF 264.
The exchange rate thus: GBP1 = USD2 = 4 D.M. = 12 F.F. or
  USD1 = GBP 0.5 = 2 D.M. = 6 F.F.
· Free import and export of gold was permitted by member nations.
Rules of the game suggested:
Surplus nations should increase their money supplies.

Income Adjustment Mechanism:

John Maynard Keynes addressed the previously formulated
weakness of the classical economists by formulating the income
adjustment mechanism.  Focus: automatic changes in income to bring about an adjustment in a nation’s current account.

Foreign repercussion effect:

India increases its imports from Germany è a rise in Germany’s
exports and income level.
Faced with a higher income level, Germany imports more goods
from India. Thus a change in imports in India results in a
feedback effect on its exports called the repercussion effect.
Consider the case of a large versus a small country.

Example of a closed economy (No exports and imports):

Assume that a government induces an increase in government
spending of $100 million.
Marginal propensity to save = 0.2
Marginal propensity to consume = 0.8
What does this multiplier mean?
A $100 million increase in government spending will lead to a five-fold increase in income (i.e. K times G è 5.0 times $100 mln = $500 Million). Thus consumption will ultimately increase to $400 million. Savings will increase to $100 million.

The question on the page originate from the summary of the following study material:

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