Common biases - Biases Emanating from the Confirmation Heuristics
9 important questions on Common biases - Biases Emanating from the Confirmation Heuristics
What is Confirmation Heuristics?
Confirming the information you have
The field of decision making can roughly be divided into to parts:
the study of prescriptive models and the study of descriptive models
What is the Affect Heuristics?
System 1 thinking, mental short cut that make decisions and solve problems quickly. Emotional reponse, or effect in psychological terms, plays a lead role
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Prescriptive decision scientists develop methods for making optmal decisions
descriptive decision researchers consider how decisions are actually made
Bias 8: Confirmation trap (ловушка потверждения) ?
People try to find or focused on the information that confirm that they were right.
1. Bias 9: Anchoring (якорь, ярлык) ?
Estimate by starting with an initial anchor that is based on information is provided and adjust from initial anchor to yield a final answer
Bias 10: Conjuctive events?
Overestimation of events. Optimistic view. One of the alternatives are right.
Bias 10: Disjunctive event?
Underestimation of events. It leads people to expect the worst. Both of two alternatives cannot be right
Bias 12: Curse of knowledge?
Difficulty with overestimating or learning when you have alredy know something about the particular information
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