Discounted Cash flow - Basic

12 important questions on Discounted Cash flow - Basic

Walk me through how you get from Revenue to Free Cash Flow in the projections?

  • Revenue - COGS - operating expenses = EBIT
  • EBIT - taxes + D&A - CapEx - non cash working capital = UFCF

What’s an alternate way to calculate Free Cash Flow aside from taking Net Income, adding back Depreciation, and subtracting Changes in Operating Assets / Liabilities and CapEx?

Cash flow from operations - CapEx - debt = Levered FCF

Why do you use 5 or 10 years for DCF projections?

You want the company to grow to a sustainable growth rate:
  • 5 years: for more mature companies who have stable CF
  • 10 years: for growth companies who need time to stabilize
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How do you get to Beta in the Cost of Equity calculation?

  1. Look up beta for each comparable company
  2. Unlever each beta
  3. Take median
  4. Lever based on company -> use this in cost of equity calculation

Un-Levered Beta = Levered Beta / (1 + ((1 - Tax Rate) x (Total Debt/Equity)))
Levered Beta = Un-Levered Beta x (1 + ((1 - Tax Rate) x (Total Debt/Equity)))

Why do you have to un-lever and re-lever Beta?

  • Unlever: each company’s capital structure is different, and we want to look at how “risky” a company is regardless of what % debt or equity it has.
  • Lever:  we need to re-lever it because we want the Beta used in the Cost of Equity calculation to reflect the true risk of our company, considering its capital structure this time.

Let’s say that you use Levered Free Cash Flow rather than Unlevered Free Cash Flow in your DCF – what is the effect?

Levered Free Cash Flow gives you Equity Value rather than Enterprise Value, since the cash flow is only available to equity investors (debt investors have already been “paid” with the interest payments).

If you use Levered Free Cash Flow, what should you use as the Discount Rate?

You would use the Cost of Equity rather than WACC since we’re not concerned with Debt or Preferred Stock in this case – we’re calculating Equity Value, not Enterprise Value.

How do you calculate the Terminal Value?

  • Apply exit multiple (EV/EBITDA) to company's last EBITDA,EBIT
  • Apply the perpetuity growth

Why would you use Gordon Growth rather than the Multiples Method to calculate the Terminal Value?

Usually use multiples based on comparable companies, but if you believe multiples will change drastically use growth rate

What’s an appropriate growth rate to use when calculating the Terminal Value?

  • GDP growth
  • Inflation

How do you select the appropriate exit multiple when calculating Terminal Value?

Look at comparable companies and pick the median. You can always show a range of exit multiples and see what the TV is then

Which method of calculating Terminal Value will give you a higher valuation?

Depends on situation, but multiples are more variable than long-term growth rate

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