Summary: Modelling Statistical

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  • 1 Econometrics

  • 1.1 Introduction

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  • What is the difference between correlation and causation?

    • Correlation: when x increases, y changes by a consistent amount
    • Causation: indicates one event as the result of the occurence of the other event.
  • 1.2 The simple regression model

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  • What is the error term?

    Error term u, collects all unobserved influences
  • How to interpret the conditional mean independence?

    Knowing the value of x, provides no information about u.
  • What are fitted/predicted values?

    ^y, ^b,0 ^b1 etc
  • How to deal with outliers?

    1. Recorded incorrectly? correct them/remove them
    2. Else leave them since they affect estimates so much.
  • How to interpret a log(y)

    Change is in b1*100%
  • What are unbiased estimators?

    If the conditional mean independence holds, b^0 = b0,
  • 1.2.1 Multiple regression

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  • Why do multiple regression models give a beter chance at uncovering causal relationships?

    Explicitly hold other factors constant
  • Name two examples of multicollinearity

    1. log(x) + log(x^2) = log(x) + 2log(x)

    should become
    (b2+2b3) * log(x)

    1. Full dummy variable model:

    Leave out one of the dummy variables/ leave out the constant b0
  • When can a multiple regression model explain a causal interpretation?

    When all variables are exogenous: exogeneity.
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