Summary: Modelling Statistical
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1 Econometrics
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1.1 Introduction
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What is the difference between correlation and causation?
- Correlation: when x increases, y changes by a consistent amount
- Causation: indicates one event as the result of the occurence of the other event.
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1.2 The simple regression model
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What is the error term?
Error term u, collects all unobserved influences -
How to interpret the conditional mean independence?
Knowing the value of x, provides no information about u. -
What are fitted/predicted values?
^y, ^b,0 ^b1 etc -
How to deal with outliers?
- Recorded incorrectly? correct them/remove them
- Else leave them since they affect estimates so much.
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How to interpret a log(y)
Change is in b1*100% -
What are unbiased estimators?
If the conditional mean independence holds, b^0 = b0, -
1.2.1 Multiple regression
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Why do multiple regression models give a beter chance at uncovering causal relationships?
Explicitly hold other factors constant -
Name two examples of multicollinearity
- log(x) + log(x^2) = log(x) + 2log(x)
should become
(b2+2b3) * log(x)- Full dummy variable model:
Leave out one of the dummy variables/ leave out the constant b0 -
When can a multiple regression model explain a causal interpretation?
When all variables are exogenous: exogeneity.
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