Cost-benefit analysis: assessing efficiency
6 important questions on Cost-benefit analysis: assessing efficiency
The basic principle underlying CBA is the Kaldor-Hicks criterion:
Current policy provides the baseline against which the impacts of alternative policies should be compared. The identification and clear description of a current policy can be complicated in a number of respects:
- Current policy in any policy area is usually a complex bundle of laws, rules and norms, which ones are relevant?
- The impacts of current policy may change over time.
- Policy changes at superior levels of government may be relevant to specifying "current policy" over time.
Relevant experimental evidence is often not available for a number of reasons: the policy being assed is unique; it applies to units that cannot be reasonably randomized; or, because experiments are costly, none have been done and resources do not permit one to be done. Possibilities are:
- Natural experiments, or situations in which fortuitous random assignment provides treatment and comparison groups for inferring impacts.
- Absent the random assignment provided by true experiments, or the near-random assignment of natural experiments, reasonable comparison groups can nonetheless often be constructed for estimating impacts (difference-in-differences design)
- When policies change the effective prices seen by consumers or producers of goods, it is reasonable to use predictions based on elasticities available in the economic literature.
- When quantitive evidence to support predictions is unavailable, it may be necessary to rely on expert opinions.
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The willingness to pay (WTP) is:
The willingness to accept (WTA) is:
The present value of consumption os defined as:
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