Meta-analysis and heterogeneity

9 important questions on Meta-analysis and heterogeneity

What are different types of heterogeneity

  • Clinical heterogeneity/ diversity:
    • Differences in clinical features of a study (patients, treatment, outcome)
  • Methodological heterogeneity/diversity:
    • Different study methodology (RCTs vs non RCTs)
  • Statistical heterogeneity -> heterogeneity:
    • Results from clinical/methodological (expected)
    • Unknown (unexpected)

How do you address clinical and methodological heterogeneity/ diversity?

  • Try to avoid it (expected heterogeneity)
    • Adequate inclusion and exclusion criteria
    • Define relevant subgroups a-priori

How do you identify statistical heterogeneity: unknown (unexpected)

  1. Common sense: eye-ball 'test'; overlapping Cls  & identify source
  2. Test for homogeneity (Chi2) but type 2 error is likely
  3. Quantify heterogeneity (I2)
    1. Describe the % of the variability in effect estimates due to heterogeneity, not chance
    2. Value >50% sometimes labeled 'substantial'
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How to address heterogeneity

  1. Check if data is entered correctly
  2. Choose to not do a meta-analysis: because the results are just too different
    1. Especially if they are inconsistent
  3. Explore heterogeneity
    1. Subgroup analyses
    2. Meta-regression
    3. Do this on pre-specified characteristics
  4. Ignore heterogeneity (NOT SMART TO DO)
  5. Change outcome (note: RD was heavily influenced by back ground risk = control group)
  6. Exclude studies (unwise, unless obvious reasons) (not because it is just an outlier)
  7. Perform a random effects meta-analysis (=incorporating heterogeneity)

When do you perform a random affects MA

Only if heterogeneity cannot be explained
  • Lack of knowledge and then assumption: random



Random effects MA model involves an assumption that the effects of individual studies differ

How do you decide whether you do a random or a fixed effects in MA

Subject of much debate, and we do not provide an universal recommendation. Some considerations in making this choice are as follows:

  • Decide before doing the meta-analyses: Whether the intervention effects are truly identical
    • Fixed when this is likely
    • Random when this is unlikely (mostly never truly identical)
  • Others argue that fixed analysis can be used when there is heterogeneity and that it makes fewer assumptions than a random effects
    • Lecturer: decide beforehand

How to interpret subgroups with caution

  • Subgroups are observational
    • Confounding by other trial-level characteristics
  • Defined prior to study or post-hoc
    • Multiple post-hoc tests: data dredging
  • Is there clinical/ biological support
  • Is the difference in effect worthwhile
  • Between study comparisons not very reliable
    • Because they are observational

How robust are the finings

  • In every SR many, many decisions and assumptions need to be made
  • What if different choices were made
    • For this sensitivity analyses are used -> to make the different choices


Choices re:
  • Methodological issues
    • Inclusion criteria
    • Different outcome measures in different studies
  • Reanalyzing the data
    • Imputing different (sensible) values for missing data
    • Different statistical approaches
      • Random instead of fixed effect model, or vv

What to use to report systematic reviews (sr)

Look at the PRISMA guidelines

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