6 Bayes’ Theorem
7 important questions on 6 Bayes’ Theorem
What is the formula relating P(A ∪ B) to P(A), P(B), and P(A ∩ B)?
- P(A ∪ B) =
- P(A) + P(B) - P(A ∩ B)
What is P(Ac | B)?
- Use rule 4:
- - P(Ac | B) = P(Ac ∩ B) / P(B)
- From rule 5:
- - P(B) = P(B ∩ A) + P(B ∩ Ac)
- - Therefore,
- - P(B ∩ Ac) = P(B) - P(B ∩ A)
- - P(Ac | B) = 0.2 / 0.3
- - This results in 0.6667.
What is the exam passing requirement?
- 5.5 is required in each part.
- Two parts:
- - Multiple choice questions
- - Open questions
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How can you calculate the probability of passing the open questions?
- Rearrange rule 3 for P(B):
- - P(B) = P(A ∪ B) - P(A) + P(A ∩ B)
- Resulting in:
- - P(B) = 0.7
What is the probability a student passes the exam?
- P(exam) = 0.6
How is P(B ∩ Ac) calculated?
- P(B ∩ Ac) = P(B) - P(B ∩ A)
- Result: P(B ∩ Ac) = 0.2
What values are used to calculate P(B)?
- P(A ∪ B) = 0.9
- P(A) = 0.8
- P(A ∩ B) = 0.6
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