Trend analyses

9 important questions on Trend analyses

Good qualities of intuive forecaster

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Experience with all your senses
be present
be open to surroundings and don't Judge
Wide kowledge

What are cultural patterns?

Cultural patterns define the present and are visbile in desig/art/etc. Even slight shifts in these patterns act as directional signposts to the future

What are the rules for superforecasting?

Be as specific as possible in your predictions, make a few sup problems, dont make patterns that don't exist, be aware of black swans (it is the same but looks differently), lots of information help, never listen to 1 person
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Explain the strength of weak ties

Weak ties are relationships between members of different groups. They leadto a diversity of ideas, as they tie together disparate modes of thought.

Name good qualities of a superforecaster

Cautious
humble
open minded
self critical welcomes new facts
growth mindset
grit

Everything can be a signal, but which questions are relevant to ask your self when finding one?

Is this curren/up-to-date/new? And does this hold potential for the future

What is cultural brailling?

Brailling is a way of communication through bumps on a page. In cultural brailling, the bumps are everything.

What is a coolhunter?

They check out newness.

What is cultural triangulation?

Is recognizing a meaningful pattern from three disparate points. It's an important practice that can build better strategies and lead o more creative thinking.

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