Structural change and industrialization

8 important questions on Structural change and industrialization

Is manufacturing more important for growth than services?

Industrialization is more important for growth at lower levels of income per capita
Service-led growth: it is seen quite negative
- Marxists: productivity slowdown of the Western economies was caused by the rise of the service sector
- Sector could only develop once industrial sector had been sufficiently developed
- Labour intensive so productivity can’t increase through automation or the use of capital

Recently it is seen more positively: it can be an engine of regional and national growth, services and manufacturing reinforce each other.

Discuss four different kinds of sectoral classifications which are relevant for our understanding of structural change.

The primary, secondary and tertiary sectors
- Primary: food, crops, fishing, forestry, mining
- Secondary: uses primary products and converts them into manufactured products
- Tertiary sector: service activities, produces intangibles

Agriculture, industry and services:
- Agriculture: also hunting, fisheries and forestry
- Industry: secondary sector plus mining
-Services

Traditional sector versus the modern commercial sector:
- Traditional sector: agriculture, traditional crafts production and the rural and urban informal sector
- The modern sector: manufacturing, construction and mining, commercial agriculture and formal service activities

The rural sector versus the urban sector:
- Urban: higher population densities, more industrial activities
- Rural: lower population density, agricultural activities

How does the pattern of structural change in developing countries since 1950 differ from earlier patterns of structural change in presently advanced economies?

Services sector expanded much earlier in developing countries after 1950.
- Because Western countries were first to industrialise, and developing countries had to compete as latecomers in a highly competitive market.
- Pre-mature de-industrialization: de-industrializing while being at a lower level of per capita income, normally de-industrialization occurs at a high per capita income.
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Why is a balance between the agricultural sector and the industrial sector considered to be advantageous for economic development in later stages of development?

-Balanced growth path strategy: pace of economic development of a country depends on a balance between the rates of output growth in different sector.
-There are complementarities between agriculture and industry.

What are the main characteristics of the vent for surplus model of primary exports?

Characterises agricultural exports between 1870 and 1913. Growing demands for primary products in HIC’s -> peasants started growing cash crops on a large scale, unused factors of production were now employed for the first time. Plantations owned by colonies recruited unskilled labour from densely populated areas.
Factors that allow country to benefit from export opportunities:
- Availability of surplus land
- Access to surplus land
- Availability of water
- Government policy
- Establishment of internal law and order

To what extent did primary exports contribute to the economic dynamism of developing countries between 1870 and 1913?

-Lack of structural transformation in some countries due to profitability of agricultural exports. So lower incentive to start difficult process of industrialization.
- But primary exports encourages inflow of foreign capital and increases domestic savings and immigration of labour. This leads to higher competition on world markets and increased productive efficiency, which increases dynamic comparative advantages

Discuss the Prebisch-Singer theory of declining terms of trade for primary products. To what extent is the Prebisch-Singer theory still relevant today?

Benefits of increased productivity in export production are passed to consumers in rich countries in the form of lower prices.
- Because the value of wages in the advanced countries will increase relative to wages in the export sector for developing counties
Rich countries benefit more from international trade than poor countries.


Why is an agricultural surplus often considered to be a precondition for industrialisation?
Why should agricultural stagnation affect the prospects of industrialisation negatively?

- Relates to the dynamic view of agriculture: productive agriculture is a precondition for successful industrialization. Before industrialization, productivity in agriculture must increase to create a surplus in order for a transfer to the industrial sector.
-Transfers in a stagnant agricultural sector leads to impoverishment of the rural population.

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