Principles of Scenario Planning - Strategising--> strategy as a loop, it is never finished - Scenarios and the strategic conversation

3 important questions on Principles of Scenario Planning - Strategising--> strategy as a loop, it is never finished - Scenarios and the strategic conversation

How can we change individual perception?

1. Relevance filters,

2. Memories of the future.

What are Relevance Filters (from the individual perception) about?

Signals from the outside world are filtered in the cognitive system.

For example: immediate impact holds us more strongly that if the threat is long term.

- Most of what happens passes us by.

In what way are organisations cognitive systems?

  1. Institutional Knowledge: --> more than sum of its parts. Pool of knowledge on the basis on which the organisation can act. It is not simply the sum of the knowledge of its members.
  2. Institutional Problems: --> "It's difficult to argue with success". When things are stable, no problem. But when turbulence appears, then it becomes more difficult. Also, old pattern thinking.
  3. Scenarios as institutional perception devices.

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