Summary: Supply Chain Modelling
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1 In command, but not in control
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What are the parts of supply chain dynamics?
- Supply -> operations management
- Network -> organization & management
- Dynamics -> system dynamics simulation
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view on performance evaluation shifts:
Cost, volume
to
Quality, reliability, customer satisfaction -
approach to risks and problems shifts:
Problem fixing, 'fire-fighting' agility
to
Problem prevention, high reliability -
2 Models of man
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What are the characteristics of stocks?
- Stocks characterize the state of the system (the snapshot test)
- Stocks provide the basis for actions
- Stocks provide systems with inertia and memory
- Stocks are the source of delays
- Stocks decouple rates of flow
- Stocks create disequilibrium dynamic
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Exponential decay: behavior over time (negative feedback loop)
flow(s) = -g * stock(s) -
Negative feedback systems with explicit goals
flow(s) = (S * - stock(s))/ AT -
There are in general two generic types of delays:
- Material delays: how the real world works
- Information delays: how the human mind works
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There are different types of systems archetypes
- exponential growth
- goal seeking
- oscillation
- s-shpae
- Overshoot & collapse
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3 Boundedly rational
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What are the rationality filters?
- Cognitive filters
- Behavioral filters
- Organizational filters
- Strategic filters
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Philosophers of science argue that any observation is theory-loaded
- The focus of attention is theory loaded:
- Observations are theory loaded
- Observations reports ar theory loaded
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